In “The Illegal Population Explosion: A Realistic Appraisal of it’s Actual Size, Implications for the Future, and Consequences for Public Policy Decisions and Citizen Activism,” experts from four disciplines challenge the official data in a report prepared by Californians for Population Stabilization (CAPS). The following summary extracts the key findings in this unrivaled study.
The Illegal Population Explosion
by Diana Hull
- The number of illegal aliens living in the United States has been underestimated for decades. Evidence from a
number of disciplines suggests that the widely cited official figure of 8-12
million illegal aliens currently residing here is a gross understatement.
- The number of foreign nationals living illegally in the U.S. is likely double or more than federal government experts
- Arriving at a more accurate illegal population count is crucial for making informed decisions about immigration-related issues
Illegal Aliens: Counting the Uncountable
by James H. Walsh
- The author, a former Associate General Counsel of the
Immigration & Naturalization Service (INS), argues that 38 million illegal
aliens are probably living in the U.S. at the present time, far more than the 7-to-12 million
claimed by federal sources.
- Official INS statistics have been suspect for many years.
- Independent studies by Northeastern University, for example, concluded that the illegal population is at
least twice the size of the official federal figure.
- Veteran Border Patrol officers estimate that a minimum of
five illegal aliens, and more likely seven, succeed in entering the United States for every one that is caught.
- The “ghost population” of illegals is now so large that the problem can no longer be ignored.
Counting the Uncountable
by Nancy Bolton
- The Census Bureau arrives at population estimates based on
surveys that depend on self-reporting. This makes it almost impossible to
arrive at an accurate count of the illegal alien population.
- The Census Bureau cannot force people to respond. Illegal
alien households have a number of reasons not to respond to Census Bureau
questionnaires, or to make false and misleading replies.
- Sources independent of the federal government suggest that the illegal alien population is far higher than official figures. Approximately 30 million foreigners enter the U.S. on temporary visas (as tourists, students, businessmen) but no one knows how many fail to leave the country after their visas expire.
Racing Backwards: The Fiscal Impact of Illegal Immigration in California
by Philip J. Romero
- The average illegal immigrant receives $8-to-$12 in public
services for every $1 they pay in taxes. Annually, this amounts to a special
“tax” on legal Californians of tens of billions of dollars—perhaps totaling 20
percent of the entire state budget.
- The average illegal alien from Mexico, the prime source of illegals in California, is poorly educated compared with the majority of Americans. They have low job skills and are heavy users of public services.
How Many Illegal Aliens are there in the U.S. ? An Alternative Methodology to Discovering the Numbers
by Fred Elbel
- The Department of
Homeland Security, the federal agency which has failed to secure our borders,
issues official estimates of the number of illegal aliens residing in the U.S.
that are probably a vast undercount.
- The author basis his
own estimates on a number of factors, including the number of illegals believed
to be entering the U.S. as well as the number that the Border Patrol fails to
- Georgia state Senator Sam Zamarripa stated in 2003 that there were
20 million illegals living in the U.S.
- A January 2005 report
by Bear Sterns investment advisors, sharply criticized Census Bureau figures
and concluded that “The number of illegal immigrants in the United States may be as high as 20 million people, more than double the
official 9 million people estimated by the Census Bureau.”
- Official government
estimates are intentionally low, static, and misleading. It is likely that up
to 20 million illegal aliens presently reside in the U.S. with an additional 12,000 entering every day.
Understanding the actual size of the illegal foreign population in the U.S.is contingent on making sound immigration policy decisions. The following study is a major step forward in deciphering the real magnitude of the illegal alien population. ■